Nacional vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
DEP
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -3 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
1%
5%
94%
|
77 | 9 | 68 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 2
CCP
28%
27%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 1
CCP
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 4
CCP
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |