Nacional vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |