Nacional vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 4
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CER
3 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 1
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CER
3 - 0
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |