Nacional vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
TAC
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LQE
3 - 0
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |