Nacional vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 5
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LQE
4 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 5
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
CUE
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |