Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
RÑU
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LQE
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |