Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
2DE
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
RÑU
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
LQE
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
12O
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
33%
26%
40%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |