Nacional AM vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 2
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRI
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
REM
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
GEN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 0
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
VIL
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |