Copa Verde 1/16
Global 3-1
Nacional AM vs Humaitá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
NAC
22%
21%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
NAC
22%
21%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
IND
4 - 4
SCH
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 2
AND
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 3
RIO
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
6 - 0
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |