Nacional AM vs SAO Raimundo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
NAC
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
PRI
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
SAO Raimundo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
REC
30%
24%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
RDA
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BPA
1 - 0
REC
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
BPA
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
REM
2 - 0
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |