Copa Verde Last 16
Global 7-5
Nacional AM vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAC
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
NAC
21%
23%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REM
3 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAC
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TDC
0 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
TDC
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |