Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Nacional AM vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
FAS
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FAS
4 - 2
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
REM
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 3
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
REM
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
REM
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
REM
1 - 1
PAY
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
REM
4 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |