Nacional AM vs Princesa Solimões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
BAH
26%
29%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 0
NAC
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
PRI
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
UDA
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
PRI
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
FER
11%
23%
66%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 0
AGU
23%
27%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |