Nacional AM vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
78.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIO
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAC
16%
19%
66%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAN
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 1
PPE
12%
21%
68%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
PPE
14%
23%
64%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
LIN
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
PPE
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |