Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-0
Nacional AM vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
BAH
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 3
PPE
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 4
ATP
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |