Copa Verde Last 16
Global 0-1
Nacional AM vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCH
67%
18%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
NAC
22%
21%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ECS
1 - 1
PAY
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
PAY
2 - 2
BOA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 0
VOL
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAY
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 1
PAY
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |