Nacional AM vs Parintins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
PRI
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
BAH
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 0
NAC
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Parintins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
AFC
7%
15%
78%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 2
PFC
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
OPE
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
PFC
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
PRI
16%
18%
67%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |