Nacional AM vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAU
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
GEN
73%
16%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAY
3 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAY
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -2 |