Copa Verde 1/16
Global 1-2
Nacional AM vs Galvez EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
PRI
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
PRI
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
SAO
65%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 3
SAN
6%
16%
78%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
VAS
0 - 4
GAL
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 1
RIO
30%
24%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
GAL
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |