Nacional AM vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
NAC
1 - 2
VAS
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SOB
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
RIO
3 - 0
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
SCI
2 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATM
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
RIO
1 - 1
CRI
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 0
SOB
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 0
COR
29%
25%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRI
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |