Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-2
Nacional AM vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 0
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 2
PRI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 4
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEN
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
FAS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
COT
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
COT
9%
18%
74%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
LON
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |