Nacional AM vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
56.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
NAC
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
SLU
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
FAS
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
COR
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
ATL
73%
19%
8%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 2
COR
15%
27%
58%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
COR
20%
28%
53%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |