Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 4-5
Nacional AM vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
RDA
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
REC
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
SDS
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 2
ALT
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
MOT
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |