Nacional de Muriae vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Muriae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
BET
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 4
VAL
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AYM
1 - 1
NAC
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
VEC
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TUP
0 - 0
VAL
45%
22%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
AYM
2 - 0
TUP
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEM
4 - 0
TUP
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
BET
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 2
URT
32%
27%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |