Nacional AC MG vs Aymorés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+192%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
NAC
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
BET
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
0 - 4
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
TUP
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aymorés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AYM
1 - 0
BET
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 1
AYM
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 0
AYM
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
AYM
1 - 0
VAL
42%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
AYM
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |