Nacional AC MG vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 4
VAL
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AYM
1 - 1
NAC
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
VEC
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
URT
2 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
AYM
0 - 0
NAC
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 0
IFC
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEM
4 - 0
TUP
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
DEM
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
DEM
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 1
NOV
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |