Nacional AC MG vs Varginha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
URT
2 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
AYM
0 - 0
NAC
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
ULU
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BOA
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 0
NAC
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Varginha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
VEC
1 - 0
AYM
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
IFC
4 - 0
VEC
15%
17%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VEC
1 - 0
BOA
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UBE
1 - 3
VEC
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
VEC
0 - 2
BET
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |