Naçao Esportes vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 3
NES
21%
20%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
NES
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
INT
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 1
NES
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
MET
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CFC
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MET
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 0
MET
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |