Naçao Esportes vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
NES
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 0
NES
88%
10%
2%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 0
BRU
8%
17%
76%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 2
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
FFL
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
2 - 0
CAC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
FFL
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |