Naçao Esportes vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 2
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NES
3 - 0
INT
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
NES
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
FFL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRU
14%
23%
64%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 0
IND
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 2
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |