NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AZA
0 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
32%
25%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
VVV
51%
23%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
80%
15%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |