NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
AZA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
MEE
0 - 6
WIL
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |