NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
FEY
0 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 2
NAC
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAE
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
HFC
4 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 1
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
WIL
1 - 0
ADO
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |