NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
PSV
3 - 3
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 1
SIT
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
SPA
2 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 0
MVV
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
DWS
1 - 0
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 2
ELI
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
AJA
4 - 0
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 0
ADO
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
FOR
1 - 1
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |