NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
VVD
0 - 4
NAC
65%
17%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
NAC
4 - 1
ELI
69%
18%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
DWS
5 - 2
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
GRO
2 - 1
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
WIL
4 - 1
ELI
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
3 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
FEY
7 - 1
WIL
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
2 - 3
VVV
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |