NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 3
AZA
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
3 - 1
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
HFC
0 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 4
TWE
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
FEY
5 - 0
VVV
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
VOL
4 - 0
VVV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 1
AZA
22%
26%
53%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 0
RJC
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |