NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
HFC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 0
GAE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
5 - 1
HFC
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 2
HEL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |