NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
5 - 0
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
5 - 1
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
MVV
2 - 1
SPA
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 2
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 3
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 4
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |