NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
NAC
2 - 3
MVV
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
VOL
2 - 3
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
NAC
0 - 1
PSV
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
NAC
2 - 0
VVD
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 3
GAE
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
ENS
2 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 2
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
SPA
1 - 3
VVD
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
SPA
4 - 2
ENS
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |