NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
RJC
2 - 5
NAC
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
NAC
1 - 2
DVO
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
VVV
1 - 0
NAC
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NAC
1 - 3
PSV
37%
23%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 2
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 3
FEY
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 1
SPA
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
SPA
4 - 2
VOL
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
MVV
1 - 1
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
SPA
3 - 1
GRO
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |