NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ADO
2 - 3
NAC
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
VVV
6 - 1
NAC
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
NAC
3 - 1
AZA
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 3
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
NAC
5 - 1
ENS
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
AZA
0 - 0
SPA
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 3
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 2
ENS
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FOR
1 - 2
SPA
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 0
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |