NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
DWS
0 - 1
NAC
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TSV
2 - 1
NAC
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
4 - 4
VVD
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
VVV
1 - 0
NAC
46%
21%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
SPA
2 - 1
TSV
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
69%
16%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
SPA
4 - 2
VVD
48%
21%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 1
VVV
64%
18%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |