NAC Breda vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 0
NAC
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAC
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 2
SIT
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
PSV
3 - 2
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
MVV
0 - 3
PSV
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 0
DWS
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ADO
0 - 1
PSV
31%
23%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
PSV
3 - 4
GAE
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |