NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
17º
16º
6
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 63 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 62 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FEY
2 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
S04
2 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 0
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
UTR
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 3
NEC
32%
24%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
ZWO
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |