NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 0
ZWO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
AZA
6 - 1
NAC
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
ADO
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
GRO
3 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
WAG
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 2
RJC
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
GAE
3 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 3
UTR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |