NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
NAC
1 - 1
GAE
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
GRO
4 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 1
ADO
23%
27%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
AZA
2 - 0
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
TWE
4 - 2
NEC
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 0
GAE
37%
23%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
TEL
1 - 0
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SHS
1 - 0
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |