NAC Breda vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FOR
4 - 1
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
NAC
2 - 0
TSV
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
FEY
2 - 0
NAC
80%
12%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
NAC
0 - 2
FEY
33%
23%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 0
NAC
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
TSV
3 - 2
MVV
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
MVV
1 - 2
VVD
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
ELI
0 - 0
MVV
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
MVV
2 - 3
ELI
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
DWS
4 - 0
MVV
55%
22%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |