NAC Breda vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
FEY
10 - 0
NAC
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
DWS
2 - 3
NAC
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
NAC
4 - 2
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ADO
3 - 4
NAC
46%
22%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
HER
1 - 1
GAE
61%
20%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
ENS
3 - 1
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
HER
1 - 0
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 4
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
HER
5 - 1
MVV
54%
22%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |