NAC Breda vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 1
NAC
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
TEL
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
HFC
2 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
HFC
4 - 0
SPA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
ADO
2 - 1
HFC
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
NAC
3 - 1
HFC
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |