NAC Breda vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
VOL
4 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
FEY
1 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 0
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 0
VOL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
RJC
3 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |